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Pace Car: May 2nd

As we enter month two of the season, let's get literal and look at what a few players are on pace to do for the entire season. We use simple math, cater to those who might overreact (either in a positive or negative way), and know that many of these end numbers are not only unlikely to be obtained, but impossible. But it's still fun, especially the thought of Sox fans waiting impatiently and talking themselves into Big Papi eventually turning things around. Through May 1st ...

-At this rate, David Wright will finish the season with 199 strikeouts, the same number that renowned K artist Ryan Howard has reached the past two seasons.

-Howard has only K'ed 21 times this year. We say "only" because that pace of 162 for the season would be his lowest number since he totaled 100 in 2005 - when he only played 88 games.

-You'd figured that Matt Holliday will find his power stroke, but if he keeps it up, he'll finish with 16-17 homers - not good for a guy in his walk year trying to squash the myth that he can't hit outside of Coors Field.

-Most people would bet the house that David Ortiz will eventually go deep, but Math 101 says that 0 HR in May means 0 HR by season's end. Although at some of those SEC football factories, Math 101 only gets up to adding and subtracting.

-Evan Longoria actually missed 2 games, so he's on pace for only 189 RBI (and 47 bombs). The single-season record for RBI: Hack Wilson, with 191 in 1930.

-Helluva start for Raul Ibanez. And if he hits at this rate, he'll finish with a line of 54 HR, 131 RBI, 23 SB, .354/.426/.695. In other words, the Phillies will have made the greatest 3-year, $30 million deal of all-time.

-Say Zack Greinke makes 35 starts. If he pitches like he did in April, he'll finish 35-0, a 0.50 ERA, a 0.889 WHIP, 308 K, and 7 shutouts in 252 innings. Amazingly, that would tie him for 59th for most wins in a single-season, tie for 101st in shutouts, and give him sole possession of 31st in WHIP. And while it's true that many of the single-season pitching leaders came from over 100 years ago, try this one: the greatest WHIP season ever was turned in by Pedro Martinez with a 0.7373 in 2000. That is just stupid.

-Oliver Perez, who pitches today, is looking at this line for the year: 30 starts, 8-15 record, 9.31 ERA, 1.966 WHIP, 135 K, 113 BB, 23 homers allowed in 145 innings.

-By contrast, Derek Lowe, the guy the Mets wouldn't give a fourth year to and opted for Ollie instead, would rock about 35 starts, 18-6, 3.03 ERA, 1.290 WHIP, 163 K, 82 BB in 208 innings.

-The Rockies are on pace to go 0-46 in one-run games.

-There are better odds of Jimmy Rollins and Jose Reyes being friends, but as of this posting, the Dodgers are on track to go 81-0 at home.

-Poor Manny Acta. The Nats, at 5-17 have the same record through 22 games as the 1962 Mets did. Those Mets lost 120 games.

-Blue Jays fans, your magic number is 138. Mariners fans, yours is 137. Good luck.